Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.538040 1.752590 1.986017 2.258820 2.568903 2.910423 3.315164
2025-11-09 1.166298 1.449119 1.783843 2.209157 2.735310 3.365112 4.176784
2025-11-16 0.982321 1.295965 1.689446 2.219237 2.914182 3.795294 4.998624
2025-11-23 0.861981 1.194574 1.632255 2.250235 3.100738 4.231120 5.849954
2025-11-30 0.755925 1.093401 1.556343 2.237550 3.215000 4.568349 6.588072
2025-12-07 0.662044 0.995098 1.469317 2.193452 3.272089 4.821303 7.220348
2025-12-14 0.580001 0.902974 1.378787 2.130409 3.288946 5.009625 7.765740
2025-12-21 0.521126 0.838179 1.320254 2.106061 3.356262 5.271573 8.436871
2025-12-28 0.492972 0.817382 1.325395 2.178114 3.575452 5.779001 9.528400
2026-01-04 0.447134 0.763047 1.271756 2.149673 3.629106 6.026847 10.220810
2026-01-11 0.423060 0.741916 1.269095 2.203092 3.819211 6.507125 11.332887
2026-01-18 0.392432 0.706383 1.238716 2.205822 3.922065 6.847939 12.233490
2026-01-25 0.360419 0.668713 1.207004 2.213871 4.053901 7.282115 13.398602
2026-02-01 0.322288 0.616628 1.146065 2.166097 4.086493 7.555110 14.322655
2026-02-08 0.297189 0.585481 1.118907 2.175950 4.223136 8.024367 15.650483
2026-02-15 0.277606 0.562447 1.103960 2.206348 4.400004 8.582416 17.200207
2026-02-22 0.255041 0.530891 1.069193 2.193909 4.491244 8.984463 18.483892
2026-03-01 0.231599 0.494868 1.021762 2.150667 4.515535 9.256218 19.531058
2026-03-08 0.208870 0.457757 0.968209 2.088848 4.494530 9.433456 20.398697
2026-03-15 0.192196 0.431671 0.934579 2.064973 4.549666 9.769787 21.632070
2026-03-22 0.185493 0.426586 0.944578 2.135627 4.814009 10.567483 23.938164
2026-03-29 0.171078 0.402661 0.911471 2.107738 4.858602 10.897766 25.243889
2026-04-05 0.164209 0.395256 0.913988 2.160120 5.088197 11.653042 27.582414